{"id":68886,"date":"2026-03-31T18:01:11","date_gmt":"2026-03-31T21:01:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/datamarnews.com\/?post_type=noticias&#038;p=68886"},"modified":"2026-04-01T17:44:26","modified_gmt":"2026-04-01T20:44:26","slug":"how-brazil-came-within-striking-distance-of-overtaking-the-u-s-as-the-worlds-top-farm-exporter","status":"publish","type":"noticias","link":"https:\/\/datamarnews.com\/noticias\/how-brazil-came-within-striking-distance-of-overtaking-the-u-s-as-the-worlds-top-farm-exporter\/","title":{"rendered":"How Brazil came within striking distance of overtaking the U.S. as the world\u2019s top farm exporter"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Brazil came close to surpassing the United States as the world\u2019s top farm exporter in 2025. During the year, Brazilian agribusiness exported a record $169.2 billion in sector products, compared with $171.3 billion exported by the United States.<\/p>\n<p>The official figures come from Brazil\u2019s Ministry of Development, Industry, Trade and Services and the U.S. Department of Agriculture.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThere is no doubt that the results could be considered a statistical tie,\u201d economist Jos\u00e9 Roberto Mendon\u00e7a de Barros of MB Associados said.<\/p>\n<p>The gap stood at $2.1 billion, or 1.2%, in favor of the United States, equivalent to just 4.5 days of Brazilian exports. According to the economist, Brazil remains on a growth trajectory, unlike the United States.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Leader in commodities<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>For Carlos Cogo of Cogo Intelig\u00eancia em Agroneg\u00f3cios, Brazil is already the leader in agricultural commodity exports overall. According to him, the methodologies used by the USDA and Brazil\u2019s ministry differ, and the U.S. figures include a broader range of products.<\/p>\n<p>Under the category \u201cAg Specialties,\u201d the U.S. agency includes prepared foods, as well as wine, beer and various manufactured products.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhen the baskets are aligned, Brazil would already have been in the lead since 2024, at least in commodities. What matters most, however, is the trend. Very soon we will take the lead regardless of the methodology used,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>Cogo also cited an analysis published in 2025 by Insper Agro Global, titled \u201cBrazil becomes the world\u2019s largest exporter of agricultural commodities,\u201d which reached the same conclusion.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cBrazil keeps growing, whether in cotton, pork or other products. What stands out is the sustained pace. Between 2000 and 2024, our growth rate was 8.6%, compared with 5.3% for the Americans, whose exports fell over the last two years,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.datamar.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Datamar<\/strong> <\/a>commercial intelligence, sourced from its flagship <a href=\"https:\/\/www.datamar.com\/en\/products\/dataliner\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>DataLiner<\/strong> <\/a>platform, highlights that Brazil exported 47,242 TEUs of cotton industry products during the opening bimonthly period of 2026.<\/p>\n<p>The following chart details the historical progression of Brazilian cotton exports:<\/p>\n<p><strong>Cotton Exports | Jan 2023 \u2013 Feb 2026 | TEUs<\/strong><\/p>\n\n    <script type=\"text\/javascript\">\n        if (typeof (wpDataCharts) == 'undefined') wpDataCharts = {};\n        wpDataCharts[3337] = {\n            render_data: {\"wdtNumberFormat\":\"1\",\"options\":{\"title\":{\"text\":\"\",\"floating\":false,\"align\":\"center\"},\"series\":[{\"type\":\"\",\"name\":\"Cotton Exports\",\"color\":\"#2E88B1\",\"label\":\"Cotton Exports\",\"orig_header\":\"cottonexports\",\"data\":[7176,4895,5847,6234,4706,5947,7709,10409,13643,22957,22387,28050,19521,22800,21065,20934,16612,13702,12827,10940,17445,23418,26027,37288,27653,22031,19404,17102,14662,10868,9517,9194,17629,32249,33681,35733,22185,25057],\"yAxis\":0}],\"xAxis\":{\"categories\":[\"202301\",\"202302\",\"202303\",\"202304\",\"202305\",\"202306\",\"202307\",\"202308\",\"202309\",\"202310\",\"202311\",\"202312\",\"202401\",\"202402\",\"202403\",\"202404\",\"202405\",\"202406\",\"202407\",\"202408\",\"202409\",\"202410\",\"202411\",\"202412\",\"202501\",\"202502\",\"202503\",\"202504\",\"202505\",\"202506\",\"202507\",\"202508\",\"202509\",\"202510\",\"202511\",\"202512\",\"202601\",\"202602\"],\"crosshair\":false},\"yAxis\":[{\"gridLineDashStyle\":\"shortdashdotdot\",\"title\":{\"text\":\"TEUs\"},\"crosshair\":false}],\"chart\":{\"backgroundColor\":\"\",\"borderWidth\":0,\"borderColor\":\"\",\"borderRadius\":0,\"zoomType\":\"none\",\"panning\":false,\"panKey\":\"shift\",\"plotBackgroundColor\":\"\",\"plotBackgroundImage\":\"\",\"plotBorderColor\":\"\",\"plotBorderWidth\":0,\"inverted\":false},\"subtitle\":{\"text\":\"\",\"align\":\"center\"},\"tooltip\":{\"enabled\":true,\"backgroundColor\":\"rgba(255, 255, 255, 0.85)\",\"borderWidth\":\"1\",\"borderColor\":\"\",\"borderRadius\":\"3\",\"shared\":false,\"valuePrefix\":\"\",\"valueSuffix\":\"TEUs\"},\"legend\":{\"enabled\":true,\"backgroundColor\":\"\",\"title\":{\"text\":\"\"},\"layout\":\"horizontal\",\"align\":\"center\",\"verticalAlign\":\"bottom\",\"borderWidth\":\"0\",\"borderColor\":\"\",\"borderRadius\":\"0\"},\"exporting\":{\"enabled\":false,\"chartOptions\":{\"plotOptions\":{\"series\":{\"dataLabels\":{\"enabled\":false}}}},\"filename\":\"\",\"width\":\"\",\"buttons\":{\"contextButton\":{\"align\":\"right\",\"verticalAlign\":\"top\",\"symbolStroke\":\"#666\",\"text\":\"\"}}},\"credits\":{\"enabled\":false,\"href\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.highcharts.com\",\"text\":\"Highcharts.com\"}},\"type\":\"highcharts_spline_chart\",\"height\":400},\n            engine: \"highcharts\",\n            type: \"highcharts_spline_chart\",\n            title: \"Exporta\u00e7\u00e3o de Algod\u00e3o | Jan 2023 - Fev 2026 | TEUs\",\n            container: \"wpDataChart_3337\",\n            follow_filtering: 0,\n            wpdatatable_id: 5525,\n            group_chart: 0        }\n    <\/script>\n\n    <div id=\"wpDataChart_3337\" class=\"highcharts_spline_chart\" style=\"width: 100%\"><\/div>\n\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><em>Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/datamar.com.br\/en\/contact\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">DataLiner (click here to request a demo)<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<h3><strong>Tariff war<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>Brazil posted record agribusiness export revenue in 2025, up 3% from the previous year.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe country set a record for agribusiness exports in 2025, even in a very challenging external environment,\u201d said Luis Rua, secretary for foreign trade and international relations at Brazil\u2019s Agriculture Ministry.<\/p>\n<p>For example, trade policies under Donald Trump\u2019s government hurt commerce between the two countries. After 110 days of tariff hikes, Brazil\u2019s exports to the U.S. market fell from $12.08 billion in 2024 to $11.40 billion in 2025.<\/p>\n<p>That represented a decline of $677.65 million, or 5.6%. On its own, that drop would not have put Brazil in the lead, but it would have narrowed the gap even further.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Historical trend<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>The comparison between Brazil and the United States in agricultural exports follows a broader structural shift. Between 2020 and 2025, the U.S. lead narrowed from $50 billion to the current $2.1 billion.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cU.S. agriculture is mature, run by older producers, and has been suffering from strategic competition with China, especially during the Trump administration,\u201d Mendon\u00e7a de Barros argued.<\/p>\n<p>Historical data from the World Trade Organization make the trend even clearer. In 2005, the United States generated 137% more revenue than Brazil from agricultural exports. By 2025, that lead had shrunk to just 1.2%.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>At the top?<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>The geopolitical environment in 2026 could favor Brazil overtaking the United States in agricultural export revenue. Mendon\u00e7a de Barros pointed to the outbreak of war in the Middle East and worsening ties between the United States and China as the main factors.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cBrazil maintains a constructive relationship with China and with Asia more broadly. We are also continuing to diversify markets, including in Europe, with the recent Mercosur-European Union agreement,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>In the case of the United States, those same relationships appear increasingly strained, with conflicting economic and geopolitical interests.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cMore than anything, the China factor matters. The agreement between China and the United States for the purchase of 25 million tonnes of grains failed. The data show China bought only 8 million,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>That situation could ultimately force U.S. agriculture to reduce its competition in the international market.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThere is pressure to raise biofuel blending mandates. Our view is that they may turn more toward the domestic market to absorb grain output,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>For the Agriculture Ministry, meanwhile, the opening of 548 markets over the last three years reinforces the trend.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cOf the more than 550 markets opened in the last three years, at least 200 are already importing. That should further increase our agribusiness exports,\u201d Rua said.<\/p>\n<p>Fonte: <a href=\"https:\/\/globorural.globo.com\/economia\/noticia\/2026\/03\/como-o-brasil-ficou-a-um-passo-de-ultrapassar-os-eua-como-maior-exportador-do-agro.ghtml\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Globo Rural<\/a><\/p>\n<div id=\"datam-1269650083\" class=\"datam-after-content datam-entity-placement\"><script async src=\"\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-8924177070819571\" crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\" style=\"display:block;\" data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-8924177070819571\" \ndata-ad-slot=\"4184155348\" \ndata-ad-format=\"autorelaxed\"><\/ins>\n<script> \n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({}); \n<\/script>\n<\/div><div id=\"datam-945063470\" class=\"datam-after-content-2 datam-entity-placement\"><script async src=\"\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-8924177070819571\" crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\" style=\"display:block;\" data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-8924177070819571\" \ndata-ad-slot=\"4184155348\" \ndata-ad-format=\"autorelaxed\"><\/ins>\n<script> \n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({}); \n<\/script>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"featured_media":5000,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","categories":[25],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68886","noticias","type-noticias","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-meat"],"acf":{"noticia_em_destaque":false,"show_post_author":true,"issue_number":"202614"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - 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